The End of My Very French By-election
The results came in last night, I was at party HQ as our various agents rang in to tell us the result from the polling station as we filled in the data one piece at a time.
The final result:
Xavier Garcia, Parti Socialiste: 40.54%
Lauriano Azinherinha, UMP: 59.46%
A surprisingly good result for Garcia in fact, in the first round the entire left won 35%, so it means he had the support of the Left and then some more.
In terms of analysis, the Green Vote was split between the two. The Communists helped the PS.
As I predicted right at the very beginning, despite an impressive performance in Round 1, the Front National and extreme right did not come out and vote, neither for the Socialist (who would have guessed?) nor the “Establishment”. This didn’t especially damage the Estrosi candidate, but it did leave him with a weaker result than he would have hoped for. (A 70/30 split would have been the benchmark).
The level of participation was almost identical at 20.15%. Though instead of the large drop that could have been expected from the abstention of the (fairly large) extreme right, the gap was filled by voters who only came out for the second round, most of whom were ones that voted for Garcia.
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Dear Hadleigh,
Well done a really entertaining website. I have really enjoyed reading it. My fraternal comiserations as to the result. How did you get to help the French Socialists?
My sister lives in France and despite being a Brit won as a local councillor in her village. How can I send this web site to her so she can read it. Did you do it in French as well or just English?
Keep up the good work see you soon
If you want me top come back to do another meeting let me know I can talk about the Severn Barrage or Regionalism or the Co-op etc etc.
yours fraternally
Chanel
Congratualtions on the results, you made up a fair bit of ground between the rounds, must´ve been the 'Hadleigh Effect'.
well done