The results came in last night, I was at party HQ as our various agents rang in to tell us the result from the polling station as we filled in the data one piece at a time.

The final result:

Xavier Garcia, Parti Socialiste: 40.54%
Lauriano Azinherinha, UMP: 59.46%

A surprisingly good result for Garcia in fact, in the first round the entire left won 35%, so it means he had the support of the Left and then some more.

In terms of analysis, the Green Vote was split between the two. The Communists helped the PS.

As I predicted right at the very beginning, despite an impressive performance in Round 1, the Front National and extreme right did not come out and vote, neither for the Socialist (who would have guessed?) nor the “Establishment”. This didn’t especially damage the Estrosi candidate, but it did leave him with a weaker result than he would have hoped for. (A 70/30 split would have been the benchmark).

The level of participation was almost identical at 20.15%. Though instead of the large drop that could have been expected from the abstention of the (fairly large) extreme right, the gap was filled by voters who only came out for the second round, most of whom were ones that voted for Garcia.